Biomarkers and Outcomes in Hospitalized Covid-19 Patients: A Prospective Registry (preprint)

ABSTRACT Objectives: To determine association of biomarkers high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), D-dimer, interleukin-6 (IL-6), lactic dehydrogenase (LDH), ferritin and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at hospital admission with clinical features and outcomes in Covid-19. Methods: Successive virologically confirmed Covid-19 patients hospitalized from April 2020 to July 2021 were recruited in a prospective registry. Details of clinical presentation, investigations, management and outcomes were recorded. All the biomarkers were divided into tertiles to determine associations with clinical features and outcomes. Numerical data are presented in median and interquartile range (IQR 25-75). Univariate and multivariate (age, sex, risk factor, comorbidity adjusted) odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to determine association of deaths with each biomarker. Results: We identified 3036 virologically confirmed Covid-19 patients during the study period, 1215 were hospitalized and included in the present study. Men were 70.0%, aged >60y 44.8%, hypertension 44.8% diabetes 39.6% and cardiovascular disease 18.9%. Median symptom duration was 5 days (IQR 4-7) and SpO2 95% (90-97). Total white cell count was 6.9x103/micro-litre, (5.0-9.8), neutrophils 79.2% (68.1-88.2) and lymphocytes 15.8% (8.7-25.5). Medians (IQR) for biomarkers were hsCRP 6.9 mg/dl (2.2-18.9), D-dimer 464 ng/dl (201-982), IL-6 20.1 ng/dl (6.5-60.4), LDH 284 mg/dl (220-396) and ferritin 351 mg/dl (159-676). Oxygen support at admission was in 38.6%, and non-invasive or invasive ventilatory support in 11.0% and 11.6% respectively. 173 (13.9%) patients died and 15 (1.2%) transferred to hospice care. For each biomarker, those in the second and third tertiles, compared to the first, had worse clinical and laboratory abnormalities, and greater oxygen and ventilatory support. Multivariate adjusted OR (95% CI) for deaths in second and third vs first tertiles, respectively, were for hsCRP 2.29(1.14-4.60) and 13.39(7.23-24.80); D-dimer 3.26(1.31-7.05) and 13.89(6.87-28.27); IL-6 2.61(1.31-5.18) and 10.96(5.88-20.43); ferritin 3.19(1.66-6.11) and 9.13(4.97-16.78); LDH 1.85(0.87-3.97) and 10.51(5.41-20.41); and NLR 3.34(1.62-6.89) and 17.52(9.03-34.00) (p<0.001). Conclusions: In Covid-19, high levels of biomarkers- hsCRP, D-dimer, IL-6, LDH, ferritin and NLR are associated with more severe illness and significantly greater in-hospital mortality. NLR, a simple, widely available and inexpensive investigation provides prognostic information similar to the more expensive biomarkers.

A European pharmacotherapeutic agent Roflumilast exploring integrated preclinical and clinical evidences for SARS CoV-2 mediated inflammation to organ damage (preprint)

COVID-19 has spread globally, affecting almost 160 million individuals. Elderly and pre-existing patients (such as diabetes, heart disease and asthma), seems more susceptible to serious illness with COVID-19. Roflumilast was licensed for usage in the European Union in July 2010 as a phosphodiesterase-4 (PDE4) inhibitor. Roflumilast has been shown to decrease bleomycin-induced lung fibrosis, lung hydroxyproline, right heart thickning in animal prophylactic. The current study reviewed existing data that the PDE-4 inhibitor protects not just renal tissues but also other major organ systems after COVID-19 infection by decreasing immune cell infiltration. These immune-balancing effects of roflumilast were related with a decrease in oxidative and inflammatory burden, caspase-3 suppression, and increased PKA/cAMP levels in renal and other organ tissue.

Greater Covid-19 Severity and Mortality in Hospitalized Patients in Second (Delta Variant) Wave Compared to the First: Single Centre Prospective Study in India (preprint)

Background & ObjectiveCovid-19 pandemic has led to multiple waves secondary to mutations in SARS-CoV-2 and emergence of variants of concern (VOC). Clinical characteristics of delta (B.1.617.2) VOC are not well reported. To compare demographic, clinical and laboratory features and outcomes in the second Covid-19 wave in India (delta VOC) with the previous wave we performed a registry-based study. MethodsSuccessive SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) confirmed Covid-19 patients presenting to our Advanced Covid Care hospital were prospectively recruited. In the first phase (wave) from March-December 2020, 1395 of 7476 (18.7%) suspected patients tested positive and 863 (61.89%) hospitalized, while in second wave from January-July 2021 out of 1641 confirmed cases out of 8680 (19.4%) suspected 388 (23.6%) were hospitalized. Details of clinical and laboratory features at admission to hospital, management and outcomes in the two waves have been compared. ResultsIn both cohorts, majority were men and 20% less than 40 years. Prevalence of hypertension, diabetes and cardiovascular diseases was more than 20%. Second wave patients had similar pre-hospitalization symptom duration but had significantly greater cough, fever and shortness of breath and lower SpO2 at presentation with greater lymphopenia, C-reactive proteins, interleukin-6, ferritin, lactic dehydrogenase and transaminases. In the second vs first wave patients, requirement of supplementary oxygen (47.9% vs 34.3%), prone positioning (89.2 vs 38.6%), high flow nasal oxygen(15.7 vs 9.1%), non-invasive ventilation (14.4 vs 9.5%), invasive ventilation (16.2 vs 9.5%), steroids (94.1 vs 85.9%), remdesivir (91.2 vs 76.0%) and anticoagulants (94.3 vs 76.0%) was greater (p<0.001). Median (IQR) length of stay [8 (6-10) vs 7 (5-10) days] as well as ICU stay [9 (5-13) vs 6 (2-10) days] was more in second wave (p<0.001). In-hospital deaths occurred in 173 patients (13.9%) and were significantly more in the second wave, 75 (19.3%), compared to the first, 98 (11.5%); unadjusted odds ratio (95% CI) 1.84 (1.32-2.55) which did not change significantly with adjustment for age and sex (2.03, 1.44-2.86), and age, sex and comorbidities (2.09, 1.47-2.95). Greater disease severity at presentation was associated with mortality in both the waves. ConclusionsCovid-19 patients hospitalized during the second wave of the epidemic (delta variant) had more severe disease with greater dyspnea, hypoxia, hematological and biochemical abnormalities compared to first wave patients. They had greater length of stay in intensive care unit, oxygen requirement, non-invasive and invasive ventilatory support. The in-hospital mortality in the second wave was double of the first.

Clinical Profile of First 1000 COVID-19 Cases Admitted at Tertiary Care Hospitals and the Correlates of their Mortality: An Indian Experience (preprint)

ObjectiveTo describe the clinical profile and factors leading to increased mortality in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients admitted to a group of hospitals in India. DesignA records-based study of the first 1000 patients with a positive result on real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction assay for SARS-CoV-2 admitted to our facilities. Various factors such as demographics, presenting symptoms, co-morbidities, ICU admission, oxygen requirement and ventilator therapy were studied. ResultsOf the 1000 patients, 24 patients were excluded due to lack of sufficient data. Of the remaining 976 in the early phase of the epidemic, males were admitted twice as much as females (67.1% and 32.9%, respectively). Mortality in this initial phase was 10.6% and slightly higher for males and steeply higher for older patients. More than 8% reported no symptoms and the most common presenting symptoms were fever (78.3%), productive cough (37.2%), and dyspnea (30.64%). More than one-half (53.6%) had no co-morbidity. The major co-morbidities were hypertension (23.7%), diabetes without (15.4%), and with complications (9.6%). The co-morbidities were associated with higher ICU admissions, greater use of ventilators as well as higher mortality. A total of 29.9% were admitted to the ICU, with a mortality rate of 32.2%. Mortality was steeply higher in those requiring ventilator support (55.4%) versus those who never required ventilation (1.4%). The total duration of hospital stay was just a day longer in patients admitted to the ICU than those who remained in wards. ConclusionMale patients above the age of 60 and with co-morbidities faced the highest rates of mortality. They should be admitted to the hospital in early stage of the disease and given aggressive treatment to help reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19.

Comparative Genomic Analysis of Rapidly Evolving SARS CoV-2 Viruses Reveal Mosaic Pattern of Phylogeographical Distribution (preprint)

The Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) that started in Wuhan, China in December 2019 has spread worldwide emerging as a global pandemic. The severe respiratory pneumonia caused by the novel SARS-CoV-2 has so far claimed more than 60,000 lives and has impacted human lives worldwide. However, as the novel SARS-CoV-2 displays high transmission rates, their underlying genomic severity is required to be fully understood. We studied the complete genomes of 95 SARS-CoV-2 strains from different geographical regions worldwide to uncover the pattern of the spread of the virus. We show that there is no direct transmission pattern of the virus among neighboring countries suggesting that the outbreak is a result of travel of infected humans to different countries. We revealed unique single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in nsp13-16 (ORF1b polyprotein) and S-Protein within 10 viral isolates from the USA. These viral proteins are involved in RNA replication, indicating highly evolved viral strains circulating in the population of USA than other countries. Furthermore, we found an amino acid addition in nsp16 (mRNA cap-1 methyltransferase) of the USA isolate (MT188341) leading to shift in amino acid frame from position 2540 onwards. Through the construction of SARS-CoV-2-human interactome, we further revealed that multiple host proteins (PHB, PPP1CA, TGF-{beta}, SOCS3, STAT3, JAK1/2, SMAD3, BCL2, CAV1 & SPECC1) are manipulated by the viral proteins (nsp2, PL-PRO, N-protein, ORF7a, M-S-ORF3a complex, nsp7-nsp8-nsp9-RdRp complex) for mediating host immune evasion. Thus, the replicative machinery of SARS-CoV-2 is fast evolving to evade host challenges which need to be considered for developing effective treatment strategies.